My machine is an original launch machine (v47 Hitachi) and I just modded the firmware about 3 weeks ago. Since then, Ive only backedup and played 1 game, of which I own the original. And this game i did not take online (the copy that is, just played to see if it worked). I have an original Crackdown and have been playing the Halo 3 beta since it was launched. (even as of last night).
Still no ban...
I know its inevitable, but Im at least trying to do whatever I can to avoid it. Like not playing backups over live (not even being connected while playing a backup) and only backing up original games (no torrent downloads etc.).
Who knows... only time will tell and if I get banned. Oh well, time for an Elite