QUOTE(Chancer @ Jun 10 2008, 06:20 PM)
The bit I find laughable is trying to quantify this based on the sales of 21 Br machines as opposed to 17 for DVD.
How in goodness name is this representative of anything.
I used to work at a manufacturing plant, and the machines we had were quite productive. I want to say we only had 4 (at least when I worked there), and they could easily churn out 50,000 discs between them during a 12hr shift (maybe more). If the BD moulders work at a similar rate (I don't see why they wouldn't), then it's quite a bit of production increase.
The thing to notice, however, is how much quicker we've gotten older movies on Blu-ray than we did on DVD. Granted, I expect it'll be quite a while before I see 2-minute commercials advertising a Shirley Temple BD, and let's not forget how some movies weren't HD'd correctly (such as Alien Vs Predator is getting a re-make later this year, Pirates of the Caribbean had a bad transfer on it's release, etc). We're also still early in the HD technology cycle. The quad-def units (2160p @ 120Hz) may exist, but aren't expected to be out until 2015, when we'll also be introduced to Super Hi-Vision (7680 x 4320, which 480 happens to be a common denominator of)...
I feel the adoption rate is a bit faster, but it's going to be rehashed to us much quicker.