Joined: 14-July 05
Member No.: 234252
Connected to live is the exact same thing as playing on live.
And you always run a chance of being banned no matter what... The way I think of it... If you have a modded console and go online you will be banned... It's just a matter of time... Maybe 6 months maybe a year maybe 2 years... It's just a matter of time, So my opinion is if you are worried about getting banned from live anyway, you shouldn't have gotten your console modded.
Also there are theories that MS can detect even if you are playing a bad backup even offline, It will flag the console and when the next ban wave comes, you will be banned.
So it's never 100% safe and nobody really knows 100% what MS does.