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No, it has nothing to do with Halo 2.
I don't even have the game and never downloaded the pirated copy and I was banned today, as have many others who never even touched Halo 2.
It may not have anything to do with a recent game. MS probably had your named on file for months and chose today to ban.
I think it's safe to say, if you have a mod chip in your Xbox, MS has found a way to find you, regardless of whether you have a stock drive or a 250 GB drive, or whether your mod chip is on or off.
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